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Malthusian Progression Derived From 1798 Edition of
An Essay on the Principle of Population
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Increasing Estimates of the Age of the Earth
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DETERMINATION |
OF YEARS |
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Note the sudden increase in estimated age with the introduction of the radiometric method in 1921. Throughout, the estimated age appears to double about every twenty years, and it would, therefore, seem another increase is imminent.
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Uranium 238 to Lead 206 Decay Series
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Velocity of Light. Values Decreasing
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OF C (Km/s) |
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This table is taken from the following recently published report:
NORMAN, Trevor and Barry Setterfield. August
1987. Technical Report: The Atomic
Constants, Light, and Time. Flinders University of South Australia:
(School of Mathematical
Sciences).
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Electron Rest Mass. Values Increasing
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DETERMINATION |
x 10-31 Kg. |
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Specific Charge or Charge to Mass Ratio Value Decreasing
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DETERMINATION |
q m (x 107 emu grm) |
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Plank's Constant. Values Increasing
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(In J.W. Nicholson) |
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(18 July): 46 |
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(In G.P. Thompson) |
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Gyromagnetic Ratio. Values Decreasing
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(rad/sec/gauss) |
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Note: The first determination was carried out in 1946 but only reported to three figures.
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Half-lives of Some Radioactive Elements Increasing
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(x 104 years) |
(mins.) |
(days) |
ACTINIUM (x 104 years) |
(years) |
(days) |
(mins.) |
(mins.) |
(years) |
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Carbon 14 Dates Reported in Radiocarbon Journal
DESCRIPTION |
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(volume year) |
(Years) |
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with Zinjanthropus boisei |
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* Reported in Libby, W.F. 1952. Radiocarbon dating. University
of Chicago Press.
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Earth's Magnetic Field. Values Decreasing
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(amp per meter2) x 1022 |
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POPULATION EXPLOSION
Pn = 2/C-l [Cn-x+1] [Cx - 1]
Pn = World population after n generations
n = Number of generations found by dividing total time by number of years per generation
x = Number of generations alive. If people live to see their grandchildren, x equals 3.
C = Half the number of children in the family. Zero population growth occurs when all children live to parenthood, and each set of parents has two children, C then equals 1.
The calculations are very simple and "ballpark" figures can be found
quickly with a pocket calculator, while for the larger exponents, a set
of common logarithm tables will be required.
Example 1: Assuming Archbishop Ussher was right and the earth was created about 4004 B.C., this would put the Genesis Flood at about 4,300 years ago. Although 4 couples survived, with insignificant error we can begin with 1 couple and take C equals 1.23, which means that throughout the total time, the average family has less than 2.5 children. This will take into account loss of population by disease, starvation, war, etc. Suppose people only lived for 43 years to simplify the calculation, and they lived to see their grandchildren so that there were 3 generations alive at any one time, thus x equals 3. n is found by dividing 4,300 by 43 equals 100 generations.
Pn today = 2/1.23-1 [1.23100-3+1] [1.233 - 1]
Pn today = 8.70 [l.2398] [0.86]
Pn today = Approximately 4.8 billion
By imposing these very severe restrictions on population growth, and
bearing in mind that historical records show large families until relatively
recent times which allows even greater depopulation by natural disaster,
it is seen that the world population derived is just about the actual world
population for today. The time frame of 4,300 years would, therefore, seem
reasonably correct.
Example 2: Suppose that the conditions were exactly as in Example 1 except that the timeframe was expanded to 1 million years. In this case, n would be given by 1,000,000 divided by 43 equals 23,256 generations. C remains at 1.23 and x equals 3.
Pn today = 2/1.23-1 [l.2323256-3+1] [l.233-l]
Pn today = 7.48 [l.2323254]
Pn today = 7.48 x antilog [23254 x log (1.23)]
Pn today = 7.48 [4.50 x 102090]
Pn today = 3.37 x 102091
Mathematicians have given thought to the largest number possible, and,
to have any meaning, the total number of electrons in the universe has
been considered as a candidate. By computation this number is 1090, a mere
drop in the bucket compared to 102091! In other words, if mankind had been
multiplying at this very modest rate for a million years, the population
would by now be so great that when packed shoulder to shoulder, it could
not be accommodated within the entire universe! Alternatively, in order
to finish with the world population as we find it today, only one family
in every 500 having more than two children would have survived. Surely
an extraordinary rate of decimation.
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